← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.53+8.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.93+6.16vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.01vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.25+7.36vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.41+1.26vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.57+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.98+1.46vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.70+0.48vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.53-0.41vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.38vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.30-2.07vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.14vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.62vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy1.95-7.01vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.71-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.9Roger Williams University1.533.9%1st Place
-
8.16University of Miami1.937.2%1st Place
-
6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.1%1st Place
-
11.36Yale University1.252.4%1st Place
-
6.26Georgetown University2.419.4%1st Place
-
9.33Old Dominion University1.573.6%1st Place
-
8.46Fordham University1.986.9%1st Place
-
6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.3%1st Place
-
9.48University of Wisconsin1.704.2%1st Place
-
9.59Fordham University1.534.0%1st Place
-
7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.4%1st Place
-
9.93Tufts University1.303.5%1st Place
-
5.86University of Pennsylvania2.4211.5%1st Place
-
8.38SUNY Maritime College1.885.9%1st Place
-
7.99U. S. Naval Academy1.956.2%1st Place
-
11.49University of Vermont0.712.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Read | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 21.6% |
| Scott Mais | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Michael Burns | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Will Murray | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Trenton Shaw | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.