Race 2A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Fraser 9.3% 10.3% 10.1% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 12.1% 9.2% 7.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Griffin Orr 3.9% 6.5% 9.2% 7.2% 9.7% 8.3% 11.3% 11.0% 14.4% 11.7% 6.2% 0.6%
Tony Collins 10.2% 8.2% 9.1% 11.1% 10.5% 11.1% 10.6% 13.7% 8.5% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Louis Padnos 18.1% 20.0% 15.7% 14.2% 9.9% 8.3% 6.7% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.8% 8.9% 12.6% 13.0% 15.3% 14.6% 1.6%
Evan Read 16.1% 13.3% 14.7% 11.3% 11.5% 12.0% 8.3% 5.8% 4.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Liana Folger 7.1% 6.4% 8.0% 8.3% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.5% 12.7% 10.2% 5.8% 0.1%
Annie Schmidt 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 10.7% 9.7% 9.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.9% 8.0% 4.3% 0.3%
Eleanor Conroy 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 6.9% 7.9% 9.3% 10.5% 12.9% 18.5% 19.9% 1.5%
Chase Quinn 17.8% 18.7% 14.6% 13.5% 12.1% 8.8% 6.6% 4.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Gatto 2.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 6.2% 8.8% 19.3% 40.5% 6.6%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 4.9% 89.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.