Race 3A

hws-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Fraser 10.5% 8.7% 10.3% 10.3% 12.2% 12.4% 11.7% 9.2% 7.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Chase Quinn 17.1% 18.9% 15.2% 14.4% 10.1% 9.3% 6.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Griffin Orr 6.6% 5.3% 6.2% 8.0% 9.3% 7.7% 12.0% 13.4% 12.9% 11.2% 7.3% 0.1%
Louis Padnos 19.5% 17.2% 14.8% 13.5% 11.8% 9.7% 5.9% 4.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Evan Read 14.6% 14.3% 15.2% 11.7% 11.9% 10.6% 7.6% 5.8% 5.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.5% 4.3% 6.1% 7.7% 9.7% 13.3% 21.8% 19.4% 2.1%
Annie Schmidt 7.7% 8.7% 10.1% 8.1% 10.4% 10.8% 10.7% 11.5% 9.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.2%
Tony Collins 10.5% 10.5% 9.0% 10.7% 9.2% 12.6% 10.3% 10.6% 8.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Liana Folger 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.7% 11.1% 9.6% 12.1% 12.5% 11.8% 8.9% 4.9% 0.3%
Alex Gatto 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 7.4% 10.3% 15.9% 41.3% 4.8%
Soren Walljasper 3.9% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 10.6% 10.0% 14.8% 17.0% 13.9% 1.5%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 4.6% 90.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.