Race 4A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chase Quinn 18.0% 16.4% 16.9% 13.1% 10.4% 9.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Evan Read 14.1% 15.5% 13.7% 11.6% 13.2% 9.4% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 19.4% 17.4% 16.1% 13.3% 11.7% 9.2% 5.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 4.7% 6.0% 7.2% 7.6% 9.3% 9.6% 10.4% 12.5% 13.2% 10.7% 8.0% 0.8%
Annie Schmidt 6.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.4% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 10.6% 11.4% 7.1% 5.1% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 10.5% 10.7% 9.2% 10.0% 11.8% 11.9% 12.5% 8.4% 7.7% 5.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.0% 9.5% 12.9% 20.1% 20.7% 1.8%
Liana Folger 7.8% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 11.5% 11.8% 12.8% 10.2% 5.8% 0.1%
Soren Walljasper 4.0% 3.4% 4.9% 6.3% 8.6% 8.2% 8.9% 13.2% 14.7% 16.3% 10.5% 1.0%
Alex Gatto 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.9% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 7.0% 9.5% 17.6% 39.7% 5.9%
Earl Lin 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 5.4% 89.9%
Tony Collins 8.9% 8.5% 9.7% 11.8% 9.5% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5% 8.8% 6.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.