Race 5A

hws-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Louis Padnos 19.1% 17.7% 15.4% 13.1% 12.8% 8.3% 5.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 8.6% 12.3% 10.7% 10.3% 10.7% 12.6% 9.8% 10.1% 8.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Evan Read 15.5% 13.1% 14.3% 11.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.2% 7.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Annie Schmidt 6.1% 7.7% 8.2% 11.5% 10.1% 8.8% 12.5% 12.8% 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 0.3%
Griffin Orr 5.6% 6.6% 5.7% 8.8% 8.3% 8.8% 12.3% 12.1% 11.1% 12.4% 7.8% 0.5%
Chase Quinn 18.5% 17.8% 14.8% 12.6% 12.8% 8.4% 6.6% 4.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Tony Collins 9.8% 9.3% 10.9% 10.5% 9.6% 11.2% 11.0% 10.4% 9.3% 4.7% 3.2% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.6% 4.4% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 7.1% 7.4% 9.1% 13.9% 20.1% 19.2% 2.6%
Liana Folger 5.7% 5.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.3% 10.4% 11.0% 13.1% 12.7% 9.2% 4.0% 0.2%
Soren Walljasper 5.2% 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 8.8% 11.7% 15.2% 16.8% 12.1% 0.4%
Alex Gatto 2.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 8.9% 17.7% 42.2% 6.5%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 5.2% 89.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.