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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria2.65-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.34+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.79-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.26-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.55-0.77vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.20-6.45vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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6.5University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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3.55Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Neil Hawkes | 27.1% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Scull | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 23.4% | 43.5% |
| Robert Berry | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Mike Knape | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 11.6% |
| John Elam | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 24.2% | 34.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 18.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.7% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.