Race 3A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Oscar Gilroy 4.7% 5.7% 9.3% 13.4% 14.2% 13.7% 13.7% 13.4% 9.4% 2.7%
Michael Burns 29.0% 30.8% 21.2% 11.7% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Mraz 41.5% 29.3% 17.0% 7.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
John Tonzola 2.7% 4.0% 7.5% 9.7% 10.3% 11.8% 14.0% 14.9% 14.8% 10.2%
Austin Latimer 5.9% 7.5% 10.0% 13.8% 15.3% 15.6% 13.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.2%
Griffin Jones 3.6% 5.8% 10.1% 10.6% 12.5% 13.5% 13.1% 14.7% 11.4% 4.8%
Andrew Martin 2.1% 3.2% 4.6% 7.1% 8.2% 10.2% 13.1% 15.8% 22.0% 13.8%
Alexander Pfeffer 5.8% 7.8% 11.3% 15.1% 15.7% 15.7% 12.4% 9.0% 6.0% 1.2%
Benjamin Koly 3.8% 4.8% 6.8% 8.8% 12.4% 13.2% 13.7% 14.4% 15.2% 7.0%
Julia Marich 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 5.9% 8.2% 14.3% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.