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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+8.78vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+7.58vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84+5.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+4.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.34+3.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.56+1.61vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.39-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-0.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-4.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.62-2.21vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-7.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-3.53vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.25-0.67vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.37-5.41vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-6.77vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.10-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.0%1st Place
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9.58Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.78Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.92Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.47Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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14.33Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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16.61Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Oviatt | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Stokes | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Evan Cooke | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| David Thompson | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 28.9% | 17.8% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Hale | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 13.4% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.