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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88+1.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.89-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.320.00vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.65-1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Georgetown University2.4033.2%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy1.4913.2%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University1.4513.1%1st Place
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5.08George Washington University0.886.8%1st Place
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3.29George Washington University1.8920.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island0.323.4%1st Place
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5.41Webb Institute0.656.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy0.524.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 33.2% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Louis Margay | 13.2% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.1% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 33.4% |
| Evan Spalding | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.