Race 6A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chase Quinn 17.6% 16.0% 14.6% 15.2% 12.1% 8.6% 7.3% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 8.9% 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 11.8% 11.3% 10.8% 10.9% 7.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Griffin Orr 7.2% 4.9% 6.0% 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 10.4% 13.7% 13.6% 11.9% 6.7% 0.3%
Louis Padnos 18.9% 18.5% 14.9% 13.0% 11.6% 9.2% 6.2% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Read 14.5% 15.1% 13.5% 13.7% 11.1% 10.1% 7.8% 6.5% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Annie Schmidt 7.5% 8.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 12.0% 11.9% 11.3% 11.0% 7.3% 3.9% 0.2%
Liana Folger 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.3% 12.4% 11.2% 10.7% 5.7% 0.3%
Soren Walljasper 4.7% 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 9.5% 10.6% 15.1% 16.9% 12.0% 1.1%
Tony Collins 8.0% 9.6% 12.8% 10.7% 10.5% 12.3% 12.2% 9.8% 7.5% 5.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.7% 4.7% 3.7% 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 10.0% 14.0% 19.3% 19.8% 2.0%
Alex Gatto 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 10.2% 16.6% 42.1% 6.6%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 2.4% 5.1% 89.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.