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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.49+3.17vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+1.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+1.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40-1.53vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.65+0.51vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.88-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.32-1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy1.4911.8%1st Place
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3.26George Washington University1.8919.7%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.4512.8%1st Place
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2.47Georgetown University2.4033.1%1st Place
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5.51Webb Institute0.655.4%1st Place
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5.02George Washington University0.887.8%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island0.324.2%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy0.525.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.7% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 33.1% | 25.9% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 21.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 31.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.