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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.45vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+1.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.49+1.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88+1.05vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.45-1.03vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Georgetown University2.4033.2%1st Place
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3.31George Washington University1.8918.6%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Naval Academy1.4912.8%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University0.886.7%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University1.4513.7%1st Place
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5.54Webb Institute0.655.5%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy0.525.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island0.324.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 33.2% | 26.6% | 18.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.6% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Louis Margay | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 14.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 24.0% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.