Race 8A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Fraser 10.6% 10.4% 10.7% 12.5% 12.8% 11.9% 11.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Evan Read 14.8% 15.7% 15.6% 14.0% 11.8% 11.1% 7.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 6.7% 6.2% 8.4% 7.5% 9.3% 11.2% 13.3% 13.5% 12.0% 8.8% 2.9% 0.2%
Eleanor Conroy 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 7.2% 7.5% 11.4% 11.5% 17.3% 17.3% 13.0% 0.9%
Chase Quinn 20.2% 18.4% 15.2% 13.7% 11.1% 8.3% 5.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Tony Collins 9.2% 10.9% 10.7% 11.1% 12.4% 12.5% 10.4% 9.9% 8.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Louis Padnos 21.7% 18.4% 18.0% 13.2% 10.5% 8.2% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 9.5% 9.5% 13.8% 15.9% 13.3% 6.0% 0.9%
Liana Folger 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 11.2% 13.6% 11.9% 12.1% 10.8% 6.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Alex Gatto 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 6.5% 10.5% 12.3% 23.1% 27.1% 3.5%
Samantha Bobo 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 5.8% 5.9% 9.9% 19.8% 39.4% 8.7%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 3.1% 7.2% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.