Race 9A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tony Collins 9.2% 9.5% 9.8% 11.8% 13.4% 13.0% 9.9% 10.2% 8.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Chase Quinn 18.5% 19.5% 15.5% 14.9% 11.4% 8.4% 6.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 7.4% 5.2% 7.6% 9.2% 8.9% 11.5% 12.3% 12.9% 11.9% 9.2% 3.9% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 9.9% 11.8% 12.6% 13.9% 12.2% 10.7% 10.5% 8.1% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 20.8% 20.2% 15.2% 12.3% 11.8% 8.1% 5.5% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Evan Read 16.1% 14.9% 15.3% 12.8% 12.6% 11.0% 7.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Samantha Bobo 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 1.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.8% 9.8% 18.7% 37.1% 8.5%
Soren Walljasper 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 11.5% 12.1% 16.2% 12.3% 7.6% 0.7%
Alex Gatto 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 7.8% 9.9% 12.8% 22.8% 27.2% 2.8%
Eleanor Conroy 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 8.7% 9.3% 12.3% 17.0% 17.2% 12.0% 1.3%
Liana Folger 5.5% 7.0% 8.8% 7.5% 10.3% 11.4% 12.8% 14.5% 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.3%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 2.9% 6.7% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.