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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.46vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+1.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.49+0.10vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.65+0.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.29vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.88-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Georgetown University2.4033.8%1st Place
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3.34George Washington University1.8919.4%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University1.4513.3%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy1.4911.4%1st Place
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5.51Webb Institute0.655.3%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy0.524.2%1st Place
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5.02George Washington University0.888.2%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island0.324.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 33.8% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.4% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Louis Margay | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 20.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 24.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.