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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.05vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+0.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.45+0.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88+0.05vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Georgetown University2.4035.4%1st Place
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4.05U. S. Naval Academy1.4914.1%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University1.8917.5%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University1.4511.4%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University0.887.3%1st Place
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5.57Webb Institute0.654.7%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy0.524.9%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island0.324.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 35.4% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Louis Margay | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Janov | 17.5% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 11.4% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.