Race 1B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alejandro Monllor 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 10.0% 11.4% 14.8% 11.3% 11.0% 8.9% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Stewart Draheim 10.9% 12.5% 11.9% 12.6% 13.9% 11.4% 10.2% 9.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Molly Sitter 3.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 5.1% 7.5% 11.7% 17.1% 20.5% 16.6% 1.4%
A. Tucker Atterbury 6.4% 8.7% 9.9% 12.9% 9.9% 12.5% 12.5% 11.1% 8.9% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Alex Woloshyn 5.4% 7.4% 7.9% 9.2% 12.1% 9.3% 11.7% 13.7% 11.0% 8.2% 3.8% 0.3%
Bradley Adam 23.7% 19.6% 18.2% 13.2% 10.3% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Storck 14.7% 14.9% 13.4% 12.1% 12.5% 11.6% 10.3% 4.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Hannah Polster 19.7% 16.8% 14.8% 14.2% 10.3% 10.3% 6.2% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Miller 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 6.4% 9.1% 11.4% 16.3% 22.0% 19.3% 1.9%
Matthew McDermaid 4.7% 4.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.9% 11.5% 13.5% 15.1% 12.6% 7.8% 0.4%
Erin Condon 1.1% 1.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 9.8% 18.4% 41.2% 10.0%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.7% 3.1% 7.0% 85.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.