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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.49+3.13vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+0.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.91vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.89-0.71vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88+0.11vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13U. S. Naval Academy1.4911.8%1st Place
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2.44Georgetown University2.4034.2%1st Place
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3.91Georgetown University1.4513.9%1st Place
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3.29George Washington University1.8919.9%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University0.886.9%1st Place
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5.47Webb Institute0.655.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy0.524.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island0.324.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 34.2% | 27.1% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.9% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 20.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 24.9% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.