Race 2B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Storck 13.5% 13.1% 14.1% 13.7% 13.2% 12.0% 9.3% 5.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 6.8% 9.4% 9.1% 10.2% 12.1% 12.6% 11.7% 13.3% 7.3% 6.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Stewart Draheim 12.8% 11.0% 11.6% 12.4% 12.6% 11.8% 12.7% 7.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Bradley Adam 22.8% 21.7% 16.6% 13.8% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Sitter 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 7.6% 8.5% 9.9% 16.5% 21.0% 16.0% 2.4%
Alex Woloshyn 6.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 12.6% 14.4% 12.3% 8.6% 2.7% 0.2%
Hannah Polster 19.2% 17.0% 16.2% 13.3% 11.3% 8.8% 6.8% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Alejandro Monllor 10.6% 9.1% 9.7% 10.6% 11.5% 11.7% 10.9% 10.5% 9.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Matthew McDermaid 2.8% 4.0% 5.9% 8.1% 8.3% 10.2% 13.1% 13.6% 13.5% 13.5% 6.8% 0.2%
Erin Condon 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 6.1% 11.4% 18.0% 41.2% 8.0%
Luke Miller 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 7.2% 10.5% 15.9% 22.5% 22.1% 3.2%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 2.8% 6.7% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.