Race 3B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jason D'Agostino 9.5% 9.0% 10.5% 10.8% 12.3% 13.2% 12.7% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Ian Storck 13.2% 13.6% 13.5% 14.7% 13.9% 10.8% 8.9% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 8.4% 7.2% 10.2% 10.6% 10.0% 11.6% 12.5% 13.0% 9.8% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Stewart Draheim 9.9% 12.6% 13.0% 15.0% 11.3% 11.8% 9.9% 7.7% 5.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Bradley Adam 21.8% 21.2% 16.5% 13.2% 10.5% 7.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 7.6% 8.3% 11.0% 15.6% 15.4% 14.5% 6.8% 0.2%
Molly Sitter 3.1% 3.9% 3.0% 4.9% 5.0% 7.0% 9.5% 9.8% 15.4% 19.7% 16.6% 2.1%
Hannah Polster 19.8% 17.7% 14.9% 12.6% 12.5% 8.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Miller 2.3% 1.2% 3.1% 2.7% 4.4% 5.7% 8.6% 11.7% 15.9% 22.3% 19.9% 2.2%
Alex Woloshyn 6.3% 6.8% 8.8% 8.0% 10.3% 11.7% 10.7% 13.1% 13.4% 7.5% 3.2% 0.2%
Erin Condon 1.4% 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 10.0% 18.1% 41.9% 10.5%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 2.6% 8.6% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.