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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.88vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88+1.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.63vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.89-2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.32-1.02vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute0.65-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Georgetown University2.4034.3%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy1.4910.9%1st Place
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3.88Georgetown University1.4514.5%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University0.887.5%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy0.525.5%1st Place
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3.35George Washington University1.8918.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island0.324.3%1st Place
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5.53Webb Institute0.654.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 34.3% | 26.1% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Louis Margay | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.1% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 31.7% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.