Race 4B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jason D'Agostino 8.8% 8.9% 10.7% 11.6% 13.1% 12.5% 11.2% 10.4% 8.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Stewart Draheim 10.9% 12.7% 10.2% 14.5% 12.8% 11.6% 10.1% 9.0% 4.8% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 8.9% 7.0% 10.4% 9.6% 10.2% 12.0% 12.5% 12.7% 10.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Alex Woloshyn 5.0% 6.0% 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.3% 12.5% 11.1% 12.7% 9.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Bradley Adam 23.7% 21.5% 14.1% 13.4% 10.5% 7.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 17.8% 17.4% 17.9% 12.4% 10.3% 9.9% 7.8% 3.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Storck 14.7% 13.4% 15.4% 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 9.5% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 4.3% 6.2% 4.9% 7.6% 7.2% 8.4% 11.2% 15.5% 13.3% 13.5% 7.0% 0.9%
Molly Sitter 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 6.8% 6.9% 9.2% 11.8% 18.3% 19.1% 15.2% 1.3%
Luke Miller 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 7.5% 10.7% 13.2% 24.5% 20.6% 3.0%
Erin Condon 1.2% 1.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 5.2% 10.7% 17.9% 42.5% 9.8%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 3.3% 8.1% 84.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.