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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.18vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.96vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.89-0.61vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.65+0.44vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.88-0.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Georgetown University2.4032.7%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy1.4911.7%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University1.4513.4%1st Place
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3.39George Washington University1.8918.3%1st Place
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5.44Webb Institute0.656.1%1st Place
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5.01George Washington University0.888.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy0.525.2%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island0.324.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.7% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Louis Margay | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.3% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Evan Spalding | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 21.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 25.2% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.