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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.15vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+0.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.45+0.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88+0.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.36vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.65-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Georgetown University2.4033.2%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy1.4912.0%1st Place
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3.27George Washington University1.8920.5%1st Place
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4.05Georgetown University1.4512.0%1st Place
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5.04George Washington University0.887.4%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy0.525.9%1st Place
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5.51Webb Institute0.654.5%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island0.324.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 33.2% | 26.2% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Louis Margay | 12.0% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.5% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 25.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.