Race 5B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bradley Adam 23.2% 20.6% 16.1% 15.2% 9.6% 6.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Draheim 10.3% 12.1% 14.2% 11.5% 12.2% 11.6% 11.5% 9.3% 5.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Ian Storck 14.9% 12.2% 15.1% 12.5% 13.8% 11.6% 8.4% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 6.7% 8.1% 10.0% 13.3% 12.5% 14.7% 13.8% 7.0% 0.9%
Alejandro Monllor 8.2% 10.3% 8.7% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 11.1% 8.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.1%
A. Tucker Atterbury 8.9% 7.2% 9.7% 9.4% 11.1% 12.0% 13.5% 11.3% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Molly Sitter 3.0% 3.4% 2.8% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 8.3% 10.6% 16.9% 20.1% 16.2% 2.0%
Luke Miller 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 3.7% 4.3% 6.1% 7.2% 10.3% 14.2% 22.8% 19.8% 3.5%
Hannah Polster 18.4% 20.1% 15.8% 13.6% 10.5% 10.3% 4.7% 3.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Condon 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 4.9% 7.2% 9.2% 18.1% 41.3% 7.7%
Alex Woloshyn 5.7% 6.1% 6.7% 8.0% 10.4% 12.1% 11.4% 14.4% 13.0% 8.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Josh Atchley 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 3.1% 7.7% 85.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.