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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.32+2.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.45-0.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.88-0.68vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.43-2.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Georgetown University2.4030.6%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy1.4910.8%1st Place
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3.54George Washington University1.8917.5%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island0.324.5%1st Place
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4.27Georgetown University1.4512.0%1st Place
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5.32George Washington University0.886.6%1st Place
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4.06Webb Institute1.4313.0%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy0.524.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 30.6% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Louis Margay | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
Ryan Janov | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
Lucas Masiello | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 34.2% |
Joe Coyne | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
Jack Fisher | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
Payne Donaldson | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.