Race 6B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Draheim 11.1% 10.8% 10.6% 12.9% 15.2% 11.6% 11.6% 7.4% 4.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Ian Storck 13.1% 15.7% 13.4% 14.3% 13.4% 10.0% 8.7% 6.0% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Alejandro Monllor 9.3% 7.7% 10.5% 11.1% 10.7% 12.1% 13.7% 11.4% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Bradley Adam 22.6% 19.6% 17.4% 13.4% 10.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 18.1% 18.1% 16.5% 13.0% 11.9% 8.1% 6.1% 4.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Woloshyn 5.4% 7.4% 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 11.9% 11.7% 13.9% 12.3% 7.3% 3.5% 0.1%
Matthew McDermaid 4.8% 6.0% 5.1% 6.8% 6.8% 10.3% 10.9% 13.2% 14.4% 14.2% 6.8% 0.7%
A. Tucker Atterbury 9.6% 8.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.2% 12.3% 11.2% 12.3% 9.0% 4.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Molly Sitter 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.5% 4.3% 8.1% 9.1% 12.5% 16.6% 20.9% 14.6% 1.2%
Luke Miller 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 7.7% 9.7% 16.4% 22.1% 20.7% 2.8%
Erin Condon 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.7% 9.3% 18.5% 42.1% 10.2%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 2.6% 8.0% 84.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.