Race 1A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 9.3% 8.8% 10.7% 9.8% 8.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.4% 4.9% 3.5% 2.2%
Emily Lambert 7.9% 8.9% 9.9% 8.8% 8.0% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.0%
Anne Haeger 18.5% 16.8% 13.1% 10.2% 11.3% 10.3% 5.4% 5.2% 5.3% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3%
Maggie Shea 9.2% 8.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 8.5% 7.4% 10.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.0% 4.5% 2.9%
Kimberly Kaull 4.7% 4.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.7% 4.4% 7.4% 6.5% 7.8% 10.0% 10.6% 13.5% 14.1%
Amy Hawkins 10.9% 11.0% 11.5% 11.7% 10.0% 9.2% 7.3% 8.1% 6.3% 5.3% 4.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Elizabeth Barry 10.8% 9.7% 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 9.7% 10.9% 6.7% 7.4% 6.6% 5.0% 4.1% 1.9%
Katii Gullick 3.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 7.4% 9.1% 8.8% 10.0% 15.3% 12.7%
Charlotte Williamson 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 7.5% 9.1% 12.5% 13.8% 22.1%
Krysta Rohde 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 6.4% 8.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 9.4% 8.1% 8.0%
Catherine Swanson 5.6% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 8.1% 10.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 7.2% 7.0%
Sarah Lihan 6.9% 6.8% 8.3% 8.7% 8.3% 7.2% 7.7% 9.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.3% 6.7% 4.7%
Caroline Wilhelm 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 10.3% 11.2% 13.8% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.