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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.49+2.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+0.55vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43+0.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.45-0.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.88-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Georgetown University2.4030.0%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy1.4912.4%1st Place
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3.55George Washington University1.8916.6%1st Place
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4.06Webb Institute1.4313.2%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University1.4513.8%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy0.524.5%1st Place
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5.3George Washington University0.885.7%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island0.323.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.0% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Louis Margay | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Janov | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 27.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.