Race 7B

hws-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jason D'Agostino 9.2% 9.3% 9.5% 11.2% 13.3% 12.5% 11.7% 10.4% 7.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 22.8% 19.8% 16.6% 14.1% 9.4% 9.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 8.2% 8.5% 10.8% 9.2% 9.9% 11.4% 12.5% 13.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Ian Storck 11.7% 15.7% 14.5% 13.4% 12.8% 10.5% 8.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Alex Woloshyn 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 12.9% 13.2% 11.8% 7.9% 3.7% 0.3%
Molly Sitter 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.7% 4.6% 5.8% 8.2% 12.9% 16.5% 22.3% 14.9% 1.5%
Hannah Polster 20.3% 15.3% 14.4% 14.2% 11.8% 10.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 4.9% 5.3% 6.1% 5.4% 8.7% 8.7% 10.4% 12.8% 16.7% 13.3% 7.0% 0.7%
Stewart Draheim 10.3% 12.1% 13.0% 13.2% 14.1% 11.9% 11.6% 7.8% 3.3% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Luke Miller 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 3.1% 3.0% 5.8% 7.6% 9.7% 16.1% 22.6% 20.4% 2.8%
Erin Condon 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 4.0% 5.9% 10.2% 17.7% 42.2% 10.2%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 3.1% 7.8% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.