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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.49+3.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+0.60vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+0.54vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88+1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.85vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.43-1.86vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.45-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy1.4911.9%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.4030.9%1st Place
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3.54George Washington University1.8916.6%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University0.887.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy0.524.7%1st Place
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4.14Webb Institute1.4312.4%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University1.4511.7%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island0.324.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.9% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 16.6% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 29.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.