Race 8B

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
A. Tucker Atterbury 7.7% 7.2% 8.7% 10.7% 10.6% 12.3% 13.8% 11.6% 9.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Jason D'Agostino 8.8% 10.5% 10.5% 11.9% 12.5% 12.9% 11.1% 10.0% 6.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Stewart Draheim 12.2% 9.7% 13.2% 12.2% 12.8% 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 5.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Storck 14.0% 13.1% 15.3% 13.7% 11.9% 11.4% 8.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 16.6% 18.6% 16.0% 13.8% 11.5% 9.0% 6.4% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 23.0% 20.2% 17.0% 13.3% 10.1% 8.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Sitter 3.0% 4.1% 2.1% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 9.3% 10.3% 16.2% 19.3% 16.1% 2.3%
Alex Woloshyn 7.0% 7.2% 7.5% 9.6% 8.7% 10.7% 12.2% 13.9% 11.6% 8.0% 3.5% 0.1%
Luke Miller 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 7.5% 7.4% 11.0% 16.9% 22.9% 19.3% 2.1%
Matthew McDermaid 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 9.5% 7.9% 11.3% 12.6% 16.1% 13.6% 7.5% 0.4%
Erin Condon 1.4% 1.8% 0.8% 1.0% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 9.7% 18.1% 41.7% 10.6%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 3.0% 8.2% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.