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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.49+3.41vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+1.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+1.19vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43+0.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88+0.32vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40-3.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.32-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy1.4910.7%1st Place
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3.46George Washington University1.8918.8%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University1.4511.3%1st Place
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4.03Webb Institute1.4313.4%1st Place
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5.32George Washington University0.887.0%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.4030.3%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy0.524.7%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island0.323.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 17.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.3% | 23.9% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 28.4% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.