Race 9B

hws-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Draheim 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 12.2% 12.3% 12.6% 12.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Bradley Adam 22.9% 19.5% 17.6% 13.6% 10.0% 8.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Storck 14.5% 12.8% 14.4% 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 9.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 17.2% 18.8% 15.7% 13.4% 11.4% 9.6% 6.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 8.3% 8.5% 10.1% 9.2% 11.4% 12.5% 9.7% 11.8% 10.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.2%
Luke Miller 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 4.4% 6.9% 9.0% 16.4% 23.5% 21.8% 2.6%
Molly Sitter 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 8.4% 11.3% 15.1% 21.8% 15.5% 2.1%
Erin Condon 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.3% 4.2% 7.2% 9.6% 18.8% 39.3% 9.2%
Matthew McDermaid 3.8% 4.1% 5.8% 6.4% 9.0% 10.1% 11.9% 14.5% 14.7% 12.6% 6.7% 0.4%
Alex Woloshyn 6.7% 8.1% 6.3% 9.4% 9.4% 10.2% 13.4% 13.0% 12.6% 7.5% 3.3% 0.1%
Jason D'Agostino 8.6% 9.5% 10.7% 12.9% 11.5% 10.6% 12.2% 10.5% 8.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Josh Atchley 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 8.3% 85.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.