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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.49+3.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.89+1.47vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+2.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40-1.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.45-0.74vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.43-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.32-0.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy1.4910.8%1st Place
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3.47George Washington University1.8919.1%1st Place
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5.28George Washington University0.885.9%1st Place
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2.54Georgetown University2.4031.8%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University1.4511.9%1st Place
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4.12Webb Institute1.4311.7%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island0.324.2%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy0.524.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.1% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 31.8% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 35.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.