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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University-0.11+2.35vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.71vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.71vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67+0.61vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.71vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-1.63-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Villanova University-0.1115.4%1st Place
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2.71Drexel University0.4726.4%1st Place
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2.29Virginia Tech0.7334.6%1st Place
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4.05Catholic University of America-0.389.6%1st Place
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5.61University of Delaware-1.673.0%1st Place
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4.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.3%1st Place
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5.7Monmouth University-1.632.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murray | 15.4% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Iain Shand | 26.4% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Young | 34.6% | 28.1% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 6.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 28.0% | 38.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 25.7% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.