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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.23vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.69vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+1.11vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-0.11-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67+0.57vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.63-0.36vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Virginia Tech0.7336.9%1st Place
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2.69Drexel University0.4725.7%1st Place
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4.11Catholic University of America-0.389.1%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University-0.1113.8%1st Place
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5.57University of Delaware-1.673.4%1st Place
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5.64Monmouth University-1.632.9%1st Place
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4.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 36.9% | 27.4% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Iain Shand | 25.7% | 24.6% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Walters | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 7.5% |
| Jack Murray | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 25.7% | 38.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 41.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.