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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.66+1.63vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+2.24vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.03vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-1.63+1.73vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.73-2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.35-0.51vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Villanova University0.6626.1%1st Place
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4.24Catholic University of America-0.388.6%1st Place
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2.97Drexel University0.4720.1%1st Place
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5.73Monmouth University-1.632.6%1st Place
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2.47Virginia Tech0.7331.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Delaware-1.353.6%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 26.1% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Walters | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 8.1% |
| Iain Shand | 20.1% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 44.4% |
| Aidan Young | 31.1% | 25.4% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Addie Perez | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 27.8% | 35.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 21.1% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.