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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.25vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-0.11+1.44vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.25vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.10vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-1.63+0.75vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.35-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Virginia Tech0.7336.2%1st Place
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3.44Villanova University-0.1115.5%1st Place
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2.75Drexel University0.4724.6%1st Place
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4.1Catholic University of America-0.389.0%1st Place
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5.75Monmouth University-1.632.4%1st Place
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4.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.5%1st Place
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5.34University of Delaware-1.353.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 36.2% | 28.0% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 15.5% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Iain Shand | 24.6% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Walters | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 46.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 10.7% |
| Addie Perez | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 25.1% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.