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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.25vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+2.13vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-0.11+0.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.30vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.47-2.26vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.63-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.35-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Virginia Tech0.7337.9%1st Place
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4.13Catholic University of America-0.389.0%1st Place
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3.56Villanova University-0.1113.0%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.3%1st Place
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2.74Drexel University0.4725.0%1st Place
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5.7Monmouth University-1.632.8%1st Place
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5.32University of Delaware-1.354.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 37.9% | 25.5% | 19.3% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Walters | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 8.8% |
| Jack Murray | 13.0% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 3.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 10.2% |
| Iain Shand | 25.0% | 24.2% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 45.5% |
| Addie Perez | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.