Race 2A

women-ne-reed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Barry 9.6% 9.5% 11.0% 8.7% 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 6.4% 5.0% 3.9% 2.1%
Anne Haeger 19.0% 15.3% 14.6% 12.0% 12.2% 7.6% 5.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Maggie Shea 7.1% 8.5% 10.5% 9.7% 7.5% 9.3% 8.0% 10.0% 9.5% 6.3% 5.5% 5.4% 2.7%
Emily Lambert 8.6% 8.5% 8.3% 10.2% 8.9% 9.6% 8.6% 6.6% 9.4% 6.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.5%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 10.2% 10.2% 9.5% 10.4% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 6.8% 5.5% 4.6% 1.3%
Amy Hawkins 11.1% 11.2% 11.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.1% 4.2% 3.5% 1.3%
Sarah Lihan 8.7% 8.3% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 6.9% 9.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.9% 8.0% 5.7% 3.7%
Catherine Swanson 5.6% 6.9% 6.0% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.1% 10.7% 7.6% 6.6%
Krysta Rohde 6.2% 5.6% 5.4% 6.5% 8.4% 6.9% 8.3% 9.5% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.3% 9.1%
Caroline Wilhelm 3.6% 4.2% 4.1% 3.1% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.0% 11.1% 13.8% 20.6%
Kimberly Kaull 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 6.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.3% 6.4% 9.8% 11.2% 10.8% 11.4% 12.2%
Charlotte Williamson 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 6.0% 5.3% 9.8% 10.2% 16.8% 21.8%
Katii Gullick 3.5% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 10.3% 11.6% 12.7% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.