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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.66+1.54vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.67+2.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.47vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.47-2.13vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.63-0.33vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Villanova University0.6627.9%1st Place
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2.44Virginia Tech0.7330.2%1st Place
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5.7University of Delaware-1.673.5%1st Place
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4.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.9%1st Place
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2.87Drexel University0.4721.8%1st Place
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5.67Monmouth University-1.632.7%1st Place
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4.3Catholic University of America-0.387.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 27.9% | 26.1% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Young | 30.2% | 26.2% | 22.9% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 27.3% | 40.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 26.9% | 20.1% | 10.0% |
| Iain Shand | 21.8% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 25.7% | 40.4% |
| Alex Walters | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.