← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.66+1.58vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.48vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-1.63+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.73-1.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.67+0.72vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-0.38-1.80vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University0.47-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.58Villanova University0.6625.7%1st Place
-
4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.1%1st Place
-
5.71Monmouth University-1.632.2%1st Place
-
2.45Virginia Tech0.7330.6%1st Place
-
5.72University of Delaware-1.673.5%1st Place
-
4.2Catholic University of America-0.388.5%1st Place
-
2.87Drexel University0.4722.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 25.7% | 28.1% | 21.9% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 10.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 27.1% | 40.2% |
| Aidan Young | 30.6% | 25.8% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 26.6% | 41.5% |
| Alex Walters | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 17.9% | 6.2% |
| Iain Shand | 22.4% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.