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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.47+1.95vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.66+0.48vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.57vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-1.63+1.76vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.38-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.67-0.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Drexel University0.4720.0%1st Place
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2.48Villanova University0.6629.2%1st Place
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2.43Virginia Tech0.7330.4%1st Place
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5.76Monmouth University-1.632.2%1st Place
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4.29Catholic University of America-0.388.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Delaware-1.673.3%1st Place
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4.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 20.0% | 21.5% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Owen Ward | 29.2% | 25.4% | 23.2% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Young | 30.4% | 28.1% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 27.7% | 41.3% |
| Alex Walters | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 18.6% | 7.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 27.3% | 40.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.