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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.66+1.47vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.78vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.63vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67+0.18vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Villanova University0.6629.3%1st Place
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2.78Drexel University0.4722.2%1st Place
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2.37Virginia Tech0.7331.8%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Delaware-1.672.8%1st Place
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3.94Catholic University of America-0.387.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 29.3% | 26.2% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Iain Shand | 22.2% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 18.4% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Young | 31.8% | 27.7% | 20.6% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.1% | 32.5% | 20.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 60.8% |
| Alex Walters | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.9% | 28.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.