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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.66+1.61vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.40vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+1.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.37vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.47-2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.84-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Villanova University0.6626.4%1st Place
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2.4Virginia Tech0.7332.4%1st Place
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4.1Catholic University of America-0.388.0%1st Place
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4.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
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2.91Drexel University0.4720.8%1st Place
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4.61University of Delaware-0.845.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 26.4% | 25.1% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Young | 32.4% | 25.9% | 21.2% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Alex Walters | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 21.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 26.7% | 29.9% |
| Iain Shand | 20.8% | 22.0% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Miles | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.