← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.66+1.59vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.47+0.78vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.73-0.55vs Predicted
-
4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.11vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.71vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.09-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.59Villanova University0.6627.7%1st Place
-
2.78Drexel University0.4722.9%1st Place
-
2.45Virginia Tech0.7329.6%1st Place
-
4.11Catholic University of America-0.388.3%1st Place
-
4.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.6%1st Place
-
4.78University of Delaware-1.094.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 27.7% | 24.8% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Iain Shand | 22.9% | 23.0% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Young | 29.6% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Walters | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 26.9% | 21.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 25.8% | 26.6% |
| Alex Newkirk | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.