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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University-1.01+2.97vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.40+1.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.04-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware0.01-1.40vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.85+1.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.57vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.66-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Villanova University-1.0110.0%1st Place
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3.25Catholic University of America-0.4017.4%1st Place
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2.55Virginia Tech0.0429.6%1st Place
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2.6University of Delaware0.0127.9%1st Place
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6.27Monmouth University-2.851.5%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Stony Brook-1.318.2%1st Place
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4.93Drexel University-1.665.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Cooner | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 4.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 17.4% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Brock Diaz | 29.6% | 25.5% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Harrington | 27.9% | 25.0% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 15.3% | 66.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 24.1% | 9.4% |
| Ben Muchin | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 31.2% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.