Race 3A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Barry 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 9.7% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 2.3%
Anne Haeger 19.5% 15.1% 15.0% 11.4% 12.5% 7.3% 6.2% 4.6% 4.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Emily Lambert 7.0% 9.3% 9.7% 9.2% 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 6.2% 5.7% 2.6%
Catherine Swanson 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 7.8% 6.6% 8.9% 7.3% 9.1% 11.1% 8.5% 7.6%
Maggie Shea 9.5% 9.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 8.9% 8.2% 7.1% 8.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.2%
Sarah Lihan 7.7% 8.1% 8.1% 7.9% 9.1% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 7.9% 6.6% 7.0% 3.3%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 10.5% 9.4% 10.5% 8.5% 7.8% 10.6% 8.9% 7.6% 8.3% 6.6% 5.5% 4.1% 1.7%
Krysta Rohde 5.7% 7.8% 4.9% 6.9% 6.7% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 9.3% 8.7% 10.3% 8.4% 6.2%
Amy Hawkins 11.0% 10.2% 11.1% 11.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 7.5% 8.0% 5.2% 4.2% 3.4% 1.6%
Caroline Wilhelm 3.7% 3.6% 4.7% 2.7% 4.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 11.2% 13.2% 21.3%
Kimberly Kaull 4.2% 3.8% 5.2% 6.0% 4.6% 7.5% 6.3% 8.2% 8.2% 11.1% 10.0% 11.4% 13.5%
Katii Gullick 3.7% 4.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.6% 6.5% 7.8% 9.1% 12.2% 14.2% 14.9%
Charlotte Williamson 2.2% 3.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.6% 4.6% 5.8% 6.5% 7.6% 9.5% 9.6% 15.5% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.