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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.40+1.75vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.04+0.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+0.89vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.38+0.02vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.31-1.12vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.34-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Catholic University of America-0.4024.9%1st Place
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2.14Virginia Tech0.0439.0%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook-1.3111.5%1st Place
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4.02Drexel University-1.389.3%1st Place
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3.88Villanova University-1.319.7%1st Place
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5.99Monmouth University-2.851.9%1st Place
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5.34University of Delaware-2.343.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Wagner | 24.9% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Brock Diaz | 39.0% | 27.6% | 19.4% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| Lillian Cardonne | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 14.8% | 6.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 9.7% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 4.7% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 54.4% |
| Phillip Furlong | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 30.5% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.