← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.04+1.14vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-0.40+0.71vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+0.95vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.38+0.03vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University-1.31-1.14vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-2.85-0.05vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.34-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Virginia Tech0.0440.3%1st Place
-
2.71Catholic University of America-0.4023.9%1st Place
-
3.95SUNY Stony Brook-1.319.7%1st Place
-
4.03Drexel University-1.389.3%1st Place
-
3.86Villanova University-1.3110.5%1st Place
-
5.95Monmouth University-2.852.5%1st Place
-
5.36University of Delaware-2.343.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 40.3% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 23.9% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 5.0% |
| Lillian Cardonne | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
| Julia Priebke | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Abigail Eck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 54.0% |
| Phillip Furlong | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 31.3% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.