← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College0.70+0.75vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.19-0.38vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-2.19+0.85vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-2.49+0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-0.85-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Ocean County College0.700.5%1st Place
-
3.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.1%1st Place
-
2.62Drexel University-0.190.2%1st Place
-
4.85Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
-
5.2Rutgers University-2.490.0%1st Place
-
3.41University of Delaware-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Wingender | 51.8% | 28.2% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kelley | 13.0% | 21.0% | 22.4% | 27.3% | 12.8% | 3.5% |
| Barrett Adams | 20.5% | 26.6% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 2.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 35.4% | 37.1% |
| Kerri Paliwoda | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 27.2% | 54.8% |
| John Waller | 10.9% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 29.4% | 18.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.