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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+3.04vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.40+0.87vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.66+1.56vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.31-0.01vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.04-2.79vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware0.25-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04SUNY Stony Brook-1.3111.3%1st Place
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2.87Catholic University of America-0.4022.9%1st Place
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4.56Drexel University-1.666.7%1st Place
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3.99Villanova University-1.3110.8%1st Place
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2.21Virginia Tech0.0437.5%1st Place
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6.14Monmouth University-2.851.6%1st Place
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4.19University of Delaware0.259.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Zeng | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 6.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 22.9% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 13.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 37.5% | 27.9% | 19.1% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 63.1% |
| William Manning | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.