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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+6.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+6.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+3.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.11vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+1.69vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+1.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-2.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.43vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.74-3.32vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.80-8.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.21Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Connor Needham | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Charles Rees | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Mike Carr | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.