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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.04+1.22vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.40+0.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+1.06vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.31-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.91-1.49vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.66-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Virginia Tech0.0437.5%1st Place
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2.77Catholic University of America-0.4023.4%1st Place
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4.06SUNY Stony Brook-1.318.8%1st Place
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3.95Villanova University-1.319.8%1st Place
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3.51University of Delaware-0.9113.3%1st Place
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4.49Drexel University-1.667.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brock Diaz | 37.5% | 26.6% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Clare Wagner | 23.4% | 24.1% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
Adam Zeng | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
Julia Priebke | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 21.5% |
Jeremy Leibell | 13.3% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 12.0% |
Ben Muchin | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.