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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.40+1.86vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.04+0.13vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+0.91vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.31-0.12vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.66-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.26-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Catholic University of America-0.4021.4%1st Place
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2.13Virginia Tech0.0439.5%1st Place
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3.91SUNY Stony Brook-1.3110.3%1st Place
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3.88Villanova University-1.3110.9%1st Place
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4.38Drexel University-1.667.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Delaware-1.2610.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Wagner | 21.4% | 23.1% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Brock Diaz | 39.5% | 28.3% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Ben Muchin | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 33.8% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.