← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+5.39vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.49+6.62vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.89+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University3.26+5.69vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.05+5.24vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.80+1.61vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.47+1.75vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.45+4.40vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.70vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.08-3.76vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.64-2.72vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-2.37vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.96vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.84-2.58vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College2.74-3.34vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.55-7.51vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.73-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.39Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.62Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.03College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
9.69Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
-
10.24Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.61Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
12.4Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.7University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.24Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.28Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
11.42Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.66SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
-
8.49Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
7.8Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Charles Rees | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Hans Henken | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Connor Needham | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 26.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% |
| Mike Carr | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.