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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.20vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+5.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+3.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+5.33vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+3.78vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.74+4.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+2.21vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45+3.86vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+1.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.14vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-4.90vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-5.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.96vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.64-7.89vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.35Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.18Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hans Henken | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Mike Carr | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 27.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Charles Rees | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.