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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+5.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+5.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.83vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+2.24vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.74+4.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-1.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45+3.83vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-1.49vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-1.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.55-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-2.34vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-2.56vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-7.29vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.48vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.61SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.44Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.52Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hans Henken | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Mike Carr | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 28.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Michael Grove | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.