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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+3.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+6.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+2.95vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+6.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+2.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+3.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.16+5.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-1.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.43+1.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.54-0.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.35vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.86-7.60vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.44vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.87-7.25vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-7.41vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.89-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Bowdoin College2.3816.7%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.395.6%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University2.1210.3%1st Place
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10.74The Citadel1.223.5%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.436.5%1st Place
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9.17Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.0%1st Place
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13.32Harvard University0.161.4%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island1.597.6%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College0.432.9%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.542.6%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.2%1st Place
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6.4Brown University1.8610.0%1st Place
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15.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.8%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University1.875.3%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.0%1st Place
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10.46Northwestern University0.893.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 16.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Jack Flores | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 45.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.