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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+5.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.85vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.62vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+4.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.73vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-1.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.06vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-2.37vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-2.57vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University3.26-5.43vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-8.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.74-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.43Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Charles Rees | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| John Silvestri | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 24.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Michael Grove | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Mike Carr | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.