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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+5.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+7.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+9.27vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.97vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.89+5.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+3.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39+1.38vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-3.33vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.43+2.84vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.87-1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.54+0.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.86-5.71vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.59-5.55vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-5.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.16-1.73vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-6.45vs Predicted
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17The Citadel1.22-6.20vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Tufts University2.1210.8%1st Place
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9.41Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.6%1st Place
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10.52Northwestern University0.892.9%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University1.395.1%1st Place
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4.67Bowdoin College2.3817.5%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.432.7%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University1.875.2%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont0.542.6%1st Place
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6.29Brown University1.8610.4%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island1.598.2%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University1.436.8%1st Place
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13.27Harvard University0.161.7%1st Place
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9.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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10.8The Citadel1.223.8%1st Place
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15.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Quinn | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Everett Nash | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 17.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.