Race 4A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Anne Haeger 17.7% 16.2% 15.6% 11.6% 9.6% 9.3% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Elizabeth Barry 9.0% 9.8% 9.3% 10.1% 10.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 6.1% 7.7% 5.3% 4.3% 1.4%
Emily Lambert 7.0% 7.9% 10.3% 8.7% 9.9% 8.0% 8.6% 9.0% 9.7% 7.3% 5.7% 5.5% 2.4%
Maggie Shea 9.6% 8.0% 7.8% 10.0% 8.9% 8.5% 10.1% 8.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 4.4% 2.7%
Kimberly Kaull 5.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 5.9% 5.8% 6.7% 5.1% 8.9% 9.1% 11.7% 14.1% 13.3%
Krysta Rohde 6.5% 6.1% 5.8% 7.8% 7.6% 6.7% 7.4% 9.9% 8.9% 8.4% 9.2% 9.5% 6.2%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 10.2% 10.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.0% 9.9% 9.5% 7.7% 7.7% 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 2.0%
Katii Gullick 4.1% 5.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.3% 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 11.0% 12.7% 14.0%
Catherine Swanson 6.0% 5.3% 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5%
Charlotte Williamson 4.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 7.3% 6.3% 8.2% 12.0% 12.8% 21.9%
Amy Hawkins 11.2% 12.5% 12.0% 8.5% 9.9% 11.2% 7.7% 8.2% 6.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.7% 1.6%
Sarah Lihan 6.8% 7.2% 8.4% 8.8% 7.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 8.4% 7.6% 6.7% 4.9%
Caroline Wilhelm 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 8.4% 10.6% 9.7% 15.2% 21.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.