← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+5.18vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.01+4.49vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.94vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.05+6.48vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.44vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.80+1.61vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.73+0.72vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.49+0.47vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.47-0.07vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.84+1.13vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.55-2.40vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.89-4.92vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.45-0.19vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.32vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.64-6.96vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College2.74-4.29vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University3.26-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.18Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.49Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.94U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
7.61Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.72Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.93Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
11.13Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.6Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
7.08College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
12.81Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.04Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
11.71SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.68Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Needham | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Charles Rees | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 26.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Mike Carr | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.