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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+3.88vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.43+9.02vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+7.21vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.54+5.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39+1.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+0.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.16+4.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-5.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.09vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.87-3.18vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-2.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.66vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.28vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.89-5.50vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-9.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.59-10.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Brown University1.8610.7%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University2.1212.5%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College0.432.6%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.9%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont0.542.3%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.395.3%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.436.0%1st Place
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13.29Harvard University0.161.3%1st Place
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4.63Bowdoin College2.3816.3%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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8.82Princeton University1.875.3%1st Place
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10.77The Citadel1.223.9%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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15.28SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.7%1st Place
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10.5Northwestern University0.893.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.3%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island1.596.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Luke Quine | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Everett Nash | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 44.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.