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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+9.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.00vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+6.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.50vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+3.22vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.41vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80-0.65vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-1.72vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-2.42vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.13vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-5.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.74-2.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.41vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.30vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.0Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.35Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.36Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Hans Henken | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Charles Rees | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Mike Carr | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 25.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.