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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.59+5.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+6.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+8.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38-0.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+2.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.83vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87+0.94vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.43+2.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.86-4.69vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.89-1.53vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.89vs Predicted
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14The Citadel1.22-3.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.39-6.95vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.16-2.85vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.54-5.40vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Tufts University2.1210.8%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island1.597.8%1st Place
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9.46Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.1%1st Place
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4.61Bowdoin College2.3816.9%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.0%1st Place
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8.94Princeton University1.875.0%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College0.432.2%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.869.1%1st Place
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10.47Northwestern University0.893.4%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University1.185.3%1st Place
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10.89The Citadel1.223.1%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.396.2%1st Place
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13.15Harvard University0.161.3%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.542.4%1st Place
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15.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 16.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Everett Nash | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Luke Quine | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.