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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.37vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+6.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+6.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+4.11vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.89+5.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.59+0.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.43+4.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.39-0.76vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-4.08vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-6.40vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.36vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.54-1.58vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.42vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-6.09vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.22-5.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University0.16-3.79vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Brown University1.869.6%1st Place
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8.71Princeton University1.875.5%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.436.2%1st Place
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10.53Northwestern University0.893.5%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.3%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island1.597.2%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College0.432.0%1st Place
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8.24Northeastern University1.395.6%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University2.1211.8%1st Place
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4.6Bowdoin College2.3816.2%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.9%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont0.543.7%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.5%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.186.0%1st Place
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10.88The Citadel1.223.2%1st Place
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13.21Harvard University0.161.5%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack Flores | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
| Everett Nash | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 44.5% |
| Luke Quine | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.