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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+5.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+3.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.87vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+1.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-0.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.88vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-0.55vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.47-2.09vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.74-0.38vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-5.48vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-2.56vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.34vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.31vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.89-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.62SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.44Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Connor Needham | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Mike Carr | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.7% |
| Hans Henken | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% |
| John Silvestri | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 25.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Charles Rees | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.