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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.54+10.46vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+6.69vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+4.47vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.65vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.89+4.40vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38-2.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12-2.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-1.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.16+2.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.37vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-2.25vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.76vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.60-3.26vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.39-7.71vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.86-10.61vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.46University of Vermont0.542.6%1st Place
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8.69Princeton University1.875.7%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island1.596.9%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.4%1st Place
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9.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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10.4Northwestern University0.893.5%1st Place
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4.71Bowdoin College2.3815.3%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University2.1212.7%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.435.8%1st Place
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13.37Harvard University0.161.7%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.8%1st Place
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10.75The Citadel1.223.4%1st Place
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9.24Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College0.603.1%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.395.5%1st Place
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6.39Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
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15.35SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Everett Nash | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.